Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock is Mitchell Professor of Leadership at the University of California, Berkeley. His books include Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics (Princeton).

Ebooks

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose

Comment être visionnaire

Superprognózy: Umění a věda předpovídání budoucnosti

El juicio político de los expertos